Research analyst Daniel Ernst is worried about the PS3. He believes that there aren't enough exclusive titles to boost the console's sales and, as a result, that will "setback" the PS3 for the next few years.

He also had a few more gaming predictions for 2008...

If gaming were a religion, and we its followers, analysts would be its prophets -- garbed in flowing robes and little belt buckles made to look like old NES controllers. And even though gaming isn't a religion (yet), and analysts lack true soothsaying abilities, gamers still treat their words as reason to get up in arms. Stepping up to the plate today, boys and girls, is Hudson Square Research analyst Daniel Ernst. And Sony fans, you might want to sit down for this one.

First off, Ernst knows Metal Gear Solid 4 has big shoes to fill with being the PS3's savior and all, but he doesn't think Snake and co. are up for the job. He believes the game "won't be enough to materially accelerate the PS3 this year."

Ernst is also preemptively calling Gran Turismo 5 a "no show" this year -- a decent hypothesis considering GT 5 Prologue's release a couple months ago.

And last, but not least -- but certainly last on the release calendar -- is Final Fantasy XIII. "Initially we had hoped it would make it in for the end of the year," he said. "[But FFXIII] definitely appears off the table" as per Square Enix's guidance.

"For the PS3, that's definitely a setback," Ernst said, referencing all the heads counted absent in the PS3's lineup. "And I think this is why their 10M unit guidance for the [fiscal year] was lower than most had expected."
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  • 1
    Redemption Jun 8, 08
    quote
    If gaming were a religion, and we its followers, analysts would be its prophets
    Man that is so far from the truth. I doubt if any actual gamer follows what the analysts say with anything but skepticism. Half the time the analysts don't seem to even know or intend to play the games they are talking about .
    • 5
      Miss Razz Jun 8, 08
      If gaming were a religion, and we its followers, analysts would be those crazy hobos who stand on street corners screaming that doomsday is near.
      • 3
        Redemption Jun 8, 08
        LOL I was going to say exactly that. Seriously Personally I hope MGS4 does amazingly well so we can rub it in the analysts' faces heheh
  • 0
    Capn Droid Jun 8, 08
    I don't doubt that LittleBigPlanet will also help out the PS3 a considerable amount, as well as Home.
  • 0
    kik36 Jun 8, 08
    Analysts don't tell us anything that common sense hasn't already.
  • -1
    Red 9 Jun 8, 08
    Like we didn't know this already...
  • -1
    Lighting Jun 8, 08
    MGS4 will defintly get the job done. And it's that "suddenly doesn't" I'm sure Little Big Planet, Motorstorm 2, Resistance 2, SOCOM, SIREN, Infamous, and Killzone 2 will get the job done.
  • -1
    theundertakergonzo Jun 9, 08
    Well when we have some new big hits come out i wonder if the guy is still going to be saying this. It's common sense that big exclusives mass the sales.
  • 2
    Zero and X Jun 9, 08
    We dont need a *bleep*ing analyst to tell us that exclusives are the reason a game console is doing well or not.
    • 1
      Storm Jun 9, 08
      Right on.

      When it comes down to it, exclusives are a turning point for me. If it's multiplatform, I usually just go for 360. But wow, can we get some 'odd' analysts? At least those kinds would keep me interested with strange predictions...this is too...obvious.

      Since when are they the prophets? <_<
  • -3
    Final Blade Jun 9, 08
    So basically this is saying the lack of exclusives for the PS3 are making the system suck right? I mean sales aren't good and it looks like the PS3 is going to be in a deep hole. Maybe Sony took too many risks, oh well.
    • 0
      Red 9 Jun 9, 08
      And they call ME a pessimist...
      • -1
        Final Blade Jun 9, 08
        Im not being pessimistic red, Im just stating what the article is trying to say. Key words "Looks like".

        Thanks for the thumbs down Sony fanboys.

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